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Message
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| yogi-in-oz |
 Posted: Sat May 20, 2006 2:00 am Post subject: AZZ - Antares ..... Aussie oiler in USA |
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Investing Manager
Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 520
This Month: 0
9057.80 e$
Net worth: 96,437.90
Portfolio Value: 87,380.10
Monthly Return: -56.67%
Trades this month: 0
Churn Rate: 0.00%Items
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Hi folks,
AZZ is another Aussie oiler, with its core
interests in USA ... a small company with
more than $25 million ready cash and a
current share buyback, also in place.
Company directors have been adding to
their personal holdings over recent months,
so there's speculation that AZZ's current
well must have hit oil or there's an already-
producing acquisition coming our way .....
Now, for some AZZ analysis:
AZZ ..... can you believe, that it has been
over 2 1/2 years, since AZZ made its highest
close for 2003, at 1.38 ...???
Since then, AZZ has drifted down to find
support, one dollar lower than that close
in 2003.
Some will remember our AZZ(AYO) analysis, with
the share price at 30 cents, in October 2000
and the subsequent rally to 1.37 by 21112000,
just a month out from the lows.
That rally was triggered on a longer time cycle
for that year ... looking at subsequent, similar
cycles for AZZ, we can see that they also marked
further lows.
For example, in October 2002, with the price
at 39 cents, we posted our analysis and lucky
enough to get on board, to win good ROI
through the next 9 months ... you can
see that this this range was also $1.oo ...
Soon after, it was on the next major cycle
on 23 October 2003, that the cycle inverted
and instead of a rally, we saw the start of
the subsequent slide, down to recent lows.
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So where is AZZ, today??
As AZZ has proven to be sensitive to this longer
time cycle and we saw the cycle inversion, at the
2003 highs, we are now looking to the same major
inverted cycle to trigger the next AZZ rally.
Fortunately, 22 May 2006 will see the next major cycle
slot into place and our short-term cycle analysis tells
us, that we should hear some positive news from the AZZ
camp, about Tuesday 23052006 - very timely ...
----
Our technical analysis also shows the price action
on 19052006 gave us an engulfing low candle pattern,
with increased volume, thus confirming the low, in a
recent retracement, as AZZ lifted off its 2006 lows,
at 37.5 cents on 16022006 ..... see chart at:
http://www.incrediblecharts.com/forums/messages/8/azzlupdate19052006zoom-815975.pdf
Conservative players will feel better, now that
they have seen confirmation of these lows, with
the completion of one price swing .....
Projecting a price target from the 2003-2006
downleg, a 50% retracement would have a target
at 89.5 cents, around 29052007 ... or one year
hence.
Of course, many traders will scalp some profits
in any fast AZZ upmoves, as well.
We should also remember the long-term resistance
and support levels, around 73 and 86 cents, as
AZZ rallies ... 73 cents in particular, has been
very strong resistance for AZZ since January 2004,
with many failed attempts to hold onto a sustained
close above 73 cents.
-----
So, looking ahead, our shorter cycles give us
some key dates for AZZ, on:
22-23052006 ..... significant and positive news???
30052006 ..... positive spotlight on AZZ
06062006 ..... minor ... finances???
08062006 ..... significant and negative news??
12-18062006 ..... flat trading??
16-19062006 ..... 2 cycles - positive move from here??
30063006 ..... negative spotlight on AZZ
03072006 ..... 2 cycles - significant and positive
..... finance news??
03-10072006 ..... strong rally???
26072006 ..... negative cycle ... finances???
01082006 ..... minor and positive
04-07082006 ..... minor
16-17082006 ..... minor and positive news???
21082006 ..... minor and positive - finances???
01092006 ..... significant news???
13092006 ..... minor - finances??
18092006 ..... significant and positive news???
21-22092006 ..... flat trading or pullback???
02102006 ..... positive spotlight on AZZ
05-09102006 ..... significant financial news ... ???
30-31102006 ..... minor & next long cycle = a high ???
For fundamental news and more on AZZ
(previously Amity Oil - AYO), just go to:
http://stocknessmonster.com/
or FREE charts for US and ASX stocks, at:
http://www.incrediblecharts.com/
happy trading
yogi
P.S. ..... holding AZZ
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| CJ. Wentworth |
| Posted: Tue May 23, 2006 6:03 am Post subject: |
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Investing Sr. Associate
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| well this is good to hear considering I'm holding a fair amount of them |
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| yogi-in-oz |
| Posted: Thu May 25, 2006 2:12 pm Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 520
This Month: 0
9057.80 e$
Net worth: 96,437.90
Portfolio Value: 87,380.10
Monthly Return: -56.67%
Trades this month: 0
Churn Rate: 0.00%Items
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Hi folks,
ANTARES ENERGY AGREES TO PARTICIPATE
IN “OYSTER CREEK” NEAR FIELD GAS PROJECT IN
BRAZORIA COUNTY, TEXAS
AZZ ... good news comes in a couple of days
later than expected, but more positive news/moves
expected, next week .....
..... see post above on 20052006, for more key
dates and AZZ analysis ...
happy days
yogi
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| yogi-in-oz |
| Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2006 4:15 pm Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 520
This Month: 0
9057.80 e$
Net worth: 96,437.90
Portfolio Value: 87,380.10
Monthly Return: -56.67%
Trades this month: 0
Churn Rate: 0.00%Items
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| poornewb |
| Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2006 5:16 am Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
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| Hey I tried looking this company up on fidelity and it brings up some AZZ Incorported? is that right? If so I doesnt show any shares recently bought by any insiders? maybe im not looking it up right? |
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| snapplekid13 |
| Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2006 12:55 pm Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
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I liked this stock at the end of December! Look at that spike!
Wow! I hope ou gought it back then.
Keep it! |
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| yogi-in-oz |
| Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:12 pm Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 520
This Month: 0
9057.80 e$
Net worth: 96,437.90
Portfolio Value: 87,380.10
Monthly Return: -56.67%
Trades this month: 0
Churn Rate: 0.00%Items
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Hi folks,
AZZ ..... if you go to the links supplied in the
first post of this thread, you can find out about
most of the news and charts on this company .....
..... or punch in this code, at yahoo:
AZZ.AX
have a great weekend
yogi
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| yogi-in-oz |
| Posted: Thu Jun 15, 2006 5:23 am Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 520
This Month: 0
9057.80 e$
Net worth: 96,437.90
Portfolio Value: 87,380.10
Monthly Return: -56.67%
Trades this month: 0
Churn Rate: 0.00%Items
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Hi folks,
AZZ ..... technically the past 2 days has made a
weak double-bottom at 36.5 cents, with 2 major
time cycles coming into play on 19 June 2006.
This is both a historical and critical support level
for this stock.
Whilst trading at that time may be flat for a
couple of days, we fully expect AZZ to lift off
its lows before the end of next week, on its
next upleg .....
Few oilers have as many postive attributes, as
AZZ right now, for example:
Directors continue to accumulate at these levels.
Active & continuuing share buyback in place.
A small stake in a current well in the USA.
A 75% stake in another US well to spud in
July 2006, as well as a drilling and testing
program, detailed in previous posts.
..... and more than $30 million in cash ... !~!
From your own research, you can probably add
more positive traits to the list, above .....
happy days
yogi
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| yogi-in-oz |
| Posted: Sat Jul 01, 2006 7:49 pm Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 520
This Month: 0
9057.80 e$
Net worth: 96,437.90
Portfolio Value: 87,380.10
Monthly Return: -56.67%
Trades this month: 0
Churn Rate: 0.00%Items
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Hi folks,
AZZ ..... as per post above on 20052006,
we will be alert for the start of the
next upleg, as 2 positive time cycles
come into play, next week ...
happy days
yogi
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| yogi-in-oz |
| Posted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:08 am Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 520
This Month: 0
9057.80 e$
Net worth: 96,437.90
Portfolio Value: 87,380.10
Monthly Return: -56.67%
Trades this month: 0
Churn Rate: 0.00%Items
|
Hi folks,
AZZ ..... continues to receive support from a
company buy-back, as well as directors' topping
up their holdings over the last few months .....
Price is off its lows now, as 2 current wells are
being drilled, in which AZZ have up to a 75%
stake, with another to be spudded next month (???)
happy days
yogi
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| yogi-in-oz |
| Posted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 2:40 pm Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 520
This Month: 0
9057.80 e$
Net worth: 96,437.90
Portfolio Value: 87,380.10
Monthly Return: -56.67%
Trades this month: 0
Churn Rate: 0.00%Items
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| yogi-in-oz |
| Posted: Sun Oct 01, 2006 9:41 pm Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 520
This Month: 0
9057.80 e$
Net worth: 96,437.90
Portfolio Value: 87,380.10
Monthly Return: -56.67%
Trades this month: 0
Churn Rate: 0.00%Items
|
Hi folks,
AZZ ..... will be alert for positive news, this week:
02102006 ..... positive spotlight on AZZ
05-09102006 ..... significant financial news ... ???
30-31102006 ..... minor & next long cycle = a high ???
For fundamental news and more on AZZ
(previously Amity Oil - AYO), just go to:
http://stocknessmonster.com/
or FREE charts for US and ASX stocks, at:
http://www.incrediblecharts.com/
happy trading
yogi
P.S. ..... holding AZZ
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| nelaina |
| Posted: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:08 am Post subject: |
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CFO
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hey Yogi,
what do you think about the big jump it made on friday? do you think it will come back down? |
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| yogi-in-oz |
| Posted: Mon Oct 02, 2006 1:01 pm Post subject: |
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Investing Manager
Joined: 15 Mar 2006
Posts: 520
This Month: 0
9057.80 e$
Net worth: 96,437.90
Portfolio Value: 87,380.10
Monthly Return: -56.67%
Trades this month: 0
Churn Rate: 0.00%Items
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Hi Nelaina,
Actually, the subject of this thread is AZZ on ASX.
..... but, with regard to the stock you are referring
to, AZZ:NYSE ..... it gapped-up, back in early-July,
with the gap providing support on the chart, until
the next rally.
Would expect the current gap to also be tested
for support, where many traders will choose to
enter this stock. High volume, with the current
gap, suggests that the current gap should hold as
future support.
Should add, that we expect further positive
(financial???) news/moves from AZZ:NYSE,
around 05-06 October 2006.
happy days
yogi
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| nelaina |
| Posted: Mon Oct 02, 2006 2:25 pm Post subject: |
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CFO
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  oops!
thanks for the insight yogi! |
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