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Federal reports?


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TimeInvestor
PostPosted: Wed Oct 31, 2007 12:16 am Post subject: Federal reports? Reply with quote

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What is the federal reports going to affect the market?
If there is interest rate cuts.
The stocks/oil/gold will raise.

What if they didn't?

What's going to happen?

Can experts here share some lights?

Thanks.
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blackfoxtrade
PostPosted: Wed Oct 31, 2007 3:34 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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If the FED decides to cut rates, stock would rise because money is cheaper and that is generally considered good for the economy. However, the currency markets would act in a different way. Lets take the EUR-USD pair, for example. If the FED cuts rates, then it means that there is going to be more money on the market, meaning that the value of a dollar will decrease against the euro. If the rates are higher in Europe than is the US, then the euro is more valuable to hold. If the FED really decides to cut rates, we will see the dollar plummet to records lows against the euro (1994 level will by passed). Right now, it (EURUSD) is sitting at 1.4425 - 1.4450.

The price of oil would also rise because oil is traded in dollars, which means that if the dollar is worth less, then the price of oil would have to rise, because the value of oil stays the same. However, there are more factors than one that make up the price of oil. Recently, there's been problems with Mexican supplies, but as they were dealt with, the price went down a bit.
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