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www.eInvesting.com Forum Index » e$ Incentives

Pick a number!


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Benjamin
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 5:49 pm Post subject: Pick a number! Reply with quote

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I'm a bit tipsy, but wanna do a contest......

Pick a number between 0 and 11. First one to get the number I'm thinking of wins.....


A Mac Computer!

Worth 3000 e$!

Only 1 guess per person!
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Im Not Warren Buffett
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 5:56 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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Hmmmm... Moderating Under the Influence? Drunk

Here is the conundrum: if you go first, you have a 1/11 chance of getting the right number. Because that person is not likely to get it correct, if you go second, you have a 1/10 chance of getting it right. That, too, is a relatively small chance of getting it right, so if I wait and go third, its a 1/9 chance...
I think there is some statistical formula to figure out the optimal time to guess, but I'm going to make my guess right now anyway.

Arrow 8
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Benjamin
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 6:00 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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Heh, office Holiday party. (I didn't wear a lampshade or anything though).

Nice use of the Drunk emoticon!...Errrrr.....

Also, your statistical anaysis would make StatTrader very proud! Cool

Nope, not 8!
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soma
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 6:02 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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I guess 2.
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Im Not Warren Buffett
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 6:05 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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There are only so many times you can drop a " Drunk " in the forums, so I feel the need to seize every opportunity Wink .

And I'm wrong... that is what happens when you go first.
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Benjamin
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 6:05 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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Not a 2, sorry!
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Im Not Warren Buffett
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 6:08 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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That is what happens when you go second. heh.
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Benjamin
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 6:08 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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I put between 0 & 11 because I wanted to say between 1 & 10, but that means it wouldn't be 1 or 10 which it isn't necessesarily, but...I dunno...where was I going with this?

Oh, it's NOT 0 or 11!
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Im Not Warren Buffett
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 6:12 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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You would just need to say "between 1 and 10, inclusive".

I submit this as more proof that our Mod is MUI... Drunk
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rykarde
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 6:24 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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I will take the number 7

Shocked
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Benjamin
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 6:50 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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7 is a very good guess...but not what I was thinking at the time...Sorry... :/
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Dave Rathbun
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 7:04 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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I guess... "A". Oh, wait, this isn't the wrong answer game... I guess 5.
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Benjamin
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 7:22 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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Nope, not 5!
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geb9696
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 7:36 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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I guess 6
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Benjamin
PostPosted: Thu Dec 22, 2005 7:57 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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Not 6!

I'm surprised it went this far. Smile
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