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VIX vs da Naz


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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Fri Feb 09, 2007 8:21 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Im Not Warren Buffett wrote:
Grimreaper wrote:
Yikers! They rallyin da VIX afta da signal! Sumbudy shoulda bet me! Laughing


The VIX is a calculation of implied volatility using options contracts. "They" aren't rallying the VIX, the premium on certain options contracts is changing.


Once agin Arrow dat's yer story. Very Happy As fer as many fokes is concerned da VIX doan even mattah no mo. And then udders such as yerself doan even know what it means as fer as da psycholgy ovit. I do....and I also know it trades just like any stock or index does based on the TA using my own system. Loook what they are doin now fer instunce. They are rallying it cause they are trying to trick da Reaper. Obviously they doan know dat my system is stronger than they are. I'm not happy they's rallyin da VIX simply becuz fokes like Guga are gettin skeeeered and panicing. Embarassed Remember.... ya can't trick da Reaper. Wink Arrow All this was a roundabout way of telling you why da premiums on certain opshuns is changing....you go wit da obvious. I'll figure out da tough chit....fair enuff? Laughing
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Im Not Warren Buffett
PostPosted: Fri Feb 09, 2007 8:26 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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They are out to get you, aren't they Grim? Good thing you're smarter than them... better looking, too. Rolling Eyes x Sear's stock price
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Fri Feb 09, 2007 8:35 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Im Not Warren Buffett wrote:
They are out to get you, aren't they Grim? Good thing you're smarter than them... better looking, too. Rolling Eyes x Sear's stock price


Laughing Funny you should mention SHLD. I wonder if Cramer "cherry picked" last night as the day to make the final pump. Confused Cramer AND Eddie Lampert should end up in jail a couple o'years from now just based on what I have seen. Of course they will get away scot free becuz da Bushies never paid no mind whilst da hedgies found a way around the stoopid securities laws that were invented afta Enron. Rolling Eyes Nope! They'll never snooker me....I have found da holy grail! Laughing Wait until SHLD is a $20 stock and then I wantcha ta think about where ya coulda, shoulda, woulda bin ifn ya only lissened to me. Very Happy
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Fri Feb 09, 2007 8:39 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Laughing I figured I'd check where SHLD was tradin since I hadn't in about 20 minutes. Sho nuff sho nuff....da Cramer clan is already underwater. Laughing It's purty kewel when you can just make a bet in da mawkets and not even have to worry that it is $3 above where you thought it was a good chort in da foist place! Laughing
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Wed Feb 14, 2007 2:17 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Looks like my machine purrdickted what wassa happnin agin. When I wassa postin da signal on da VIX anna I said I wanted da VIX to sell off they rallied da beeeyotch insted. Probly cause they thunk they wassa gonna git da Reaper to jump witout thinkin. Little did they know dat da Reaper can't think Shocked .....dat's why me needs a system ta tell me what ta do. Confused Laughing Anyhoo, as it was stated in da good book..."what was hast was given back, and what whast taken bafo da Reaper says it's OK will be lost"....sutton like dat. So here we be and da VIX gave back mosta da false rally yesterday. I stawted addin ta chorts agin. Wink On the udder hand....that false move on da Naz to 5500 was just enuff to screw up da Naz chawt....which make sense becuz I'm sho they doan want anybudy ta know what they's got in mind. This will all make sense to ya latta oooon....when ya know what I'm tawkin bout. Confused Rolling Eyes Very Happy
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Sat Feb 17, 2007 5:47 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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Looks like things will tern decidedly mo bearish this coming week. Da only question is how low da VIX will go....it'll most certainly trade to and balow 9.75 (it might trick ya and trade ta 10.75 foist....it won't trick da Reaper though Cool ).....the new trend low that was setup this past week. Normally a trend low fo a stock or index in a downtrend (which da VIX most certainly is in) will move at least 10% below the price point ov da trend low.....which means da VIX should move sub 9.00. So the possibility stands that there could either be a blowoff top in da mawkets...or da bears will just totally throw in da towel on da put side o'thangs. Should be a fun and intrusting week this week. I don't expect any SIRIous down moves in da mawkets until Fri of course. Very Happy I wonder what da catalyst will be to open da flood gates. Confused Collapse of da Chinese stock mawket? Dubya does sumthin INCREDIBLY stoopid in da Middle East? Confused Majer capitulation in da mawkets will occur when da hedgies and privut equity clowns git forced to liquidate....dat be the only thing I gar-own-tee will occur. Wink
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Tue Feb 20, 2007 6:11 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Dangit! Da VIX only traded to 10.72....I said 10.75...sorry bout dat. Very Happy I'll try n do a little better wit da rest o'my purrdixshun. I doan wannna hear yuns guys beitchin n moanin bout da tumblin mawkets until it is warranted. Then you'll be able ta ave down into yer losses as da Reaper woiks his majic! Laughing Sheeeyot 10.72 on da VIX....where's T.M. Vetelmo and his 2 er 3 cents when ya need him?!!! Laughing Laughing
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Thu Feb 22, 2007 2:02 pm Post subject: Reply with quote

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Laughing Nice little "prime da pump" job in da last 15 minutes o'trading taday.....ainna? Rolling Eyes Very Happy I'm wreckin Manny o'Da Nipulators fame comes ova heeya ta check what da Reaper says....I mean everybudy does purt near, Cramer, Ben Bernanke, Dick Cheney, da Pope. Confused So yo Manny, lissen to me now n lissen to me good....ya purt near put me ta sleep taday. Rolling Eyes I'll tell ya what I'm gonna do. I'll letya gap em up early cause fokes wanna put what they learned on Mad Monkey ta werk. Ifn a stock is gappin up on da open it makes it easy to decide fer da ave Cramer flunkie....just get in dummy! Rolling Eyes Laughing Manny, lissen to me bro....be dunn by 12 noon tamarrah and I'll let ya have an estree 15 Naz points ya doesn't even deserve. Dat be da only way we's gonna git NYX to 112 by noon anyhoo. I'll bite da bullet....but doan cross me or I'm sendin in me goons shortly afta noon. Shocked Confused Rolling Eyes Very Happy
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Fri Apr 13, 2007 3:25 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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I mentioned my final "drop zone" entry tawget area fo da VIX on mo than 1 occasion. Sumtimes it is easier to tell how high da Naz will go jist by knowin how low da VIX "hasta" go. Laughing Anyhoo, a gapdown move on da open fo da VIX will make a big dent in gettin it to where it gotsta go. Ifn I don't see a gapdown move I will assume there is no chance ov this being Arrow "the Fri" Embarassed Seems like such a purrfeckt Fri too!....Fri 13th. Laughing Embarassed Twisted Evil Laughing
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Sat Apr 14, 2007 5:49 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Well, I wassa thinkin naz 2490ish would be high enuff. But da VIX chawt shows there still be sum werk to be dunn to dat index. ETF chort play MZZ (my weapun ov choice) is also werkin its way down to a new low....saweeeet! Very Happy Another ETF....EEM is dictating possible news outta China agin will create the second gapdown now dat duble tops are being set almost across da bored. There be a veeeery good chance I could get er dunn this coming week. Wish me luck! Very Happy
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Fri Apr 20, 2007 5:13 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Today's gapup in da Naz at it approaches the 52 week high will tell ya a ton about human psychology. You can apply the same thought process to any mawket really....fokes gettin into a tussle cause sumbody jumped da line that formed to buy the latest video game console Arrow cause they was so anxious ta pay top dollar fer it. Rolling Eyes ....fokes gettin a 1% mortgage that adjusts to a 7% mortgage in 12 munths...just so they could buy a $150000 home fer $225000 Rolling Eyes Same ding dang dilly darn thang wit a gapup in any "hot" stock or index near a 52 week high. Well....ya gonna learn from it?!!....or are ya gonna join da ranks o'da sheeple?....the choice is up ta you. Wink Very Happy

Sidenote: A gapdown near a 52 week low like we saw wit da ying to da mawket's yang MZZ means fokes is probubly questioning their decision to be safe agin a majer mawket debacle....in order werds...da early gapdown in MZZ this moanin "may" mean fokes is skeeered ta be skeeered! Shocked Laughing I parenthesised da "may" so dat Dubya B could unnerstand da content ov dis post. Puttin may in da post is similar to sayin "if"....which means Arrow We know it's gonna happen when it actually happuns. Invest accordingly. Rolling Eyes Very Happy
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Im Not Warren Buffett
PostPosted: Fri Apr 20, 2007 5:23 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Grim,
Thanks for your sentiments, it was sooooooo much easier to understand you when you include one word of actual English - an exponential improvement for you? Razz

Anywho, I am actually surprised by the VIX action because we are at new highs, but the VIX isn't at new lows... I guess we just don't have that complacency in the markets right now and people still remember Feb. 27th.
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Thu May 10, 2007 1:08 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Seems like an appropreeyut time ta post an update....being dat Fri is only 1 day away. Embarassed Very Happy The trading in crap like RIMM, FWLT, CROX, (there's a whole list of em) is what you would expect to see as a setup fo a blowoff top. That move in RIMM was NOT created by new buyers lookin fer a great funnymental investment...trust me on that. Very Happy Anyhoo, on Fed day we almost always see a reaction which is greater than what you would expect fo no udder reazun. Confused The following day usually unwinds da shennanagins....so look fo an unwinding early today.....and I'm glad to see that appears to be happenin based on da futures. We will then need a catalyst to drive the last wave of buyers in going into Fri. I mentioned how Earl and stocks were disconbobulating from each other. I'll see ifn I can't get Guido n Tony ta give da Earl idiots a nudge by mid-moanin. Very Happy I'm tellin ya right cheeeya right now though. You will not be sorry ifn ya hedge yer longs with a 20% position in MZZ when she breaks balow $51 agin. Wink
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Fri May 11, 2007 1:40 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Well....I'm not sho ifn I kin make this Fri "the" Fri since quite a bito damage was already dunn and I doubt that a move in the Naz to the upside, and then a reversal, with a couple hunnert point move to the downside is possible today. It doan mean da Reaper ainna gonna have fun and give sumthin a smackdown though...In fackt....I'll be tawgeting Earl n commodities today. Very Happy I'm pretty sho I'm the ONLY person on the planet that kin get the Earl idiots to panic....and then get the resto da sheeple to see that Earl is dumpin so they say Arrow "Let's buy AAPL!" Laughing Ifn you look at Earl vs stocks.....Earl up yesterday....stocks down. Eventually my plan is to get em to act in unison agin. Wink Let's see ifn I kin maybe take stocks down early today....get Earl to turn down causing a....BIG stock rally and then....KABOOM!.....Yeah, yeah, I know it's a tuff task....do you wanna try it? Confused Embarassed

Sidenote: Last night Cramer mentioned 12 stocks he feels you must have becuz the big institutional buyers MUST have them. Ifn you are looking to "maximize losses" I would buy those on any rally I manage to create over the next 7 days. Wink
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Grimreaper
PostPosted: Sat Jun 02, 2007 4:59 am Post subject: Reply with quote

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Well, progress has certainly been slooooow. But I did git quite o'bit accomplished this past week as da VIX moved ever so closer to da majic 9.75 numba by puttin in a low near 12 n fisty. My fav-o-right anti-mawket play MZZ also put in a new low but "luckily" I gots me and da fokes who isa follwin my advice out on the recent ramp to 52.50. I had an open limit to stawt werkin back in at 48.50 but it didn quite get that low. I did buy sum here in funny muny but eliminated those 1100 shares yesterday on da quick ramp back up through $49. I am only holding 600 shares heeeeya "just in case" Very Happy Da ganews is dat everythang be happnin EXACTLY as I purrdicted so fer...as Earl n commodititties is still separatin from da mawkets in genrul. So ifn yuns be lookin fer a catlist to send da VIX down to stick da landing as da Naz moves higher in a possibull blowoff top....I'm still thinkin tumblin Earl n commoditty plays be yer anser. Speekin ov commodititty plays. I doan think it was nice fo da HUI goldpig index to ramp just as it wassa gettin ready ta do a majer gappo n crappo! Evil or Very Mad But dat be OK. On this recent move down da HUI did in fackt put in a new n improved n lower trend low than the one I mentioned at 331-327gap...this time it came in at 318. This is a sign ov a new downtrend gettin ready to git stawted (a trend low lower than the most recent one). It may also be a sign that our local WOOHOO champ could be gettin ready to spew on da goldpigs like he dunn wit SIRI. So those of you who are looking to maximize losses may wanna wait to buy yer fav-o-wrong goldpig play as da HUI takes out 344.07. Just as yuns may have bought SIRI at 2.97! Laughing No really!...put up the 10 day chawt and look how perrfect da tai-ming was on dat SIRI WOOHOO!....ahhh maaaay zing! Laughing
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